国际农产品价格波动成因研究述评
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国家社会科学基金项目“完善农产品进出口战略规划和调控机制研究”(09BJY072)。


A Literature Review on Factors Affecting Fluctuation of International Agricultural Product Price
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    摘要:

    国际农产品价格波动成因一直是世界经济和农业经济学领域关注的热点问题,国内外学者对此做了大量研究。国内外学者的基本共识为:供求关系是决定农产品价格的根本原因,各种因素通过影响供求双方,对农产品价格产生影响;以实体经济为主的传统影响因素对国际农产品价格仍具有显著影响,而能源价格,投机因素和政策干预等近年来出现的新型因素的作用也在日益增强;虚拟经济已逐渐成为导致国际农产品价格波动的重要原因。现有的研究分别基于实体经济和虚拟经济展开,而未将实体经济和虚拟经济有机结合,如何将两者间的互动关系纳入研究框架将是未来研究的一个方向;如何在涵盖实体经济因素和虚拟经济因素的研究框架下,得出有益于政府平抑农产品价格,保障国内粮食安全的政策建议,有着重要现实意义。

    Abstract:

    Factors affecting the fluctuation of international agricultural price is a hot topic in the field of world economics and agricultural economics on which many scholars have done a great deal of researches. Scholars from home and abroad all agree that it is the relationship between supply and demand that determines the agricultural product price. A variety of factors inlfuence the agricultural product prices by affecting both sides of supply and demand. The traditional factors ,belonging to the real economy, still have a significant impact on the international agricultural product prices, while the new emerging factors such as energy prices, speculation and policy interventions are of growing importance.Virtual economy has gradually become a leading factor in affecting the fluctuation of international agricultural product price. The current researches are based on the real economy and the virtual economy respectively. Thus, how to cover the interaction between the two into the research framework could be a future research direction.How to stabilize the prices of agricultural products and ensure domestic food security under the above research framework is an important practical significance in this study.

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顾国达,方晨靓.国际农产品价格波动成因研究述评[J].华中农业大学学报(社会科学版),2012(2):11-17

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