农地经营权抵押贷款供需主体贷款决策行为 的演化博弈研究
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国家社会科学基金面上项目“农户在农村土地信托流转中的行为响应及福利变化研究”(17BJL090).


Research on DecisionMaking Behaviors of Supply and Demand Sides of Farmland Management Rights Mortgage Based on Evolutionary Game Theory
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    摘要:

    基于演化博弈理论,建立农业经营主体与金融机构的农地抵押贷款决策行为 博弈模型,研究借贷双方贷款决策的动态演化过程,分析贷款成本、贷款利率等对贷款决策 的影响,并运用 MATLAB软件进行动态数值仿真.结果显示,贷款成本是影响借贷双方贷 款决策的关键因素,贷款利率对借贷双方贷款决策的影响存在明显差异,政府供给金融公共 产品能有效提高贷款供需方的借贷意愿.由此提出各级政府应积极推动贷款在线办理,压 低贷款成本;加大政策支持力度;适度向农地抵押贷款市场提供公共产品等政策建议.

    Abstract:

    Based on evolutionary game theory,this paper establishes the decisionmaking game model of the agriculture managers and financial institutions,explores the dynamic evolutionary process of the behavioral strategies on both sides,and analyzes the influence of the loan cost and loan rate on loan decision.Furthermore,it analyzes the numerical examples and simulation using MATLAB.The results show that the loan cost is the critical factor influencing the loan decision of both debtors and creditors,and the impact of loan rate on debtors’ loan decisions is obviously different from that of loan rate on creditors’.The supply of financial public products by government can effectively increase the loan willingness of the debtors and creditors.Therefore,it is suggested that the government promote the loan application online,increase the policy support for financial institutions and provide moderate public products to the agricultural land mortgage market.

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李名峰,杨 川,吴郁玲.农地经营权抵押贷款供需主体贷款决策行为 的演化博弈研究[J].华中农业大学学报(社会科学版),2021(4):165-175

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  • 在线发布日期: 2021-07-16
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