返乡创业如何促进县域产业结构升级——基于政策试点的准自然实验
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中南财经政法大学 财政税务学院,湖北 武汉 430070

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F323;F062.9

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国家自然科学基金青年项目“创新视角下高管宏观认知的资本配置效率研究”(72002043);中央高校基本科研业务费专项 “基本公共服务影响劳动力返乡的实证研究”(202210402)。


How to Promote the Upgrading of County Industrial Structure by Returning Home for Entrepreneurship——A Quasi-Natural Experiment Based on the Pilot Policy
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    摘要:

    发展县域产业,提升县域经济对乡村产业的带动作用是实现乡村振兴战略的关键环节。基于2011-2019年中国27个省份1844个县的面板数据,利用交错双重差分法研究返乡创业对县域产业结构升级的影响。研究发现,返乡创业显著促进了县域产业结构升级。考察处理效应异质性问题和使用PSM-DID、安慰剂检验、替换变量指标等方法进行检验,结果仍然稳健。机制分析表明,返乡创业提高了县域经济的技术创新水平与资本集聚水平,进而促进县域产业结构升级。另外,政策效果存在显著的区域性差异,欠发达地区的政策效果最强、中等地区次之,发达地区的政策效果则不显著。因此,建议继续实施与优化返乡创业政策,从促进创新和引入资本两方面探索支持返乡创业的长效政策扶持机制,并加强对欠发达地区的政策扶持力度。

    Abstract:

    Developing county industries and enhancing the driving effect of the county economy on rural industries are crucial for realizing the Rural Revitalization Strategy. Based on the panel data of 1844 counties in 27 provinces in China from 2011 to 2019, this paper uses the Staggered DID methods to study the impact of returning home for entrepreneurship on upgrading county industrial structure. The study found that returning home for entrepreneurship has significantly upgraded the county’s industrial structure. The results remained robust after reviewing the heterogeneous treatment effects and tests using methods such as PSM-DID, placebo test, and substitution variables. Mechanism analysis shows that returning home for entrepreneurship has improved the level of technological innovation and capital agglomeration of the county economy, thereby promoting the upgrading of the county’s industrial structure. In addition, there are significant regional differences in policy effects,with the strongest policy effects in underdeveloped areas, followed by medium areas, and no significant policy effects in developed areas. Therefore, it is suggested to continue implementing and optimizing the policy, exploring the long-term mechanism to support homecoming entrepreneurship in terms of promoting innovation and introducing capital, and strengthening policy support for underdeveloped areas.

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李波,赵骏宇,靳取.返乡创业如何促进县域产业结构升级——基于政策试点的准自然实验[J].华中农业大学学报(社会科学版),2023(3):34-43

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  • 收稿日期:2022-08-11
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  • 在线发布日期: 2023-05-16
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