我国居民乳制品消费行为的同群效应研究
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作者单位:

1.农业农村部 食物与营养发展研究所,北京100010;2.北京工商大学 信息网络中心,北京100048

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F307.3;F326.3

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中国农业科学院创新工程项目“动物产品消费结构及营养优化”(CAAS-ASTIP-2022A-3-IFND);国家重点研发计划项目 “奶业全产业链高效优质生产关键技术”(SQ2022YFD1300028)。


Research on the Peer Effects of Dairy Products Consumption of Chinese Residents
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    摘要:

    促进乳制品消费,有助于国民增加优质蛋白摄入,优化食物结构,强壮国民体质,推进健康中国战略实施。基于2004-2018年中国健康与营养调查(CHNS)18岁以上城乡居民的调研数据,以线性均值模型为基础,分别使用边际Probit回归和Tobit回归考察同群效应对乳制品消费参与和消费量的影响,利用工具变量法(2SLS)进一步解决“反射性”内生问题对基础回归结果进行检验,考察同群效应的存在与否并进一步探究其异质性。结果表明:居民乳制品消费具有同群效应且对消费行为具有正向影响,在利用工具变量法解决“反射性”问题后,该结论依然稳健;异质性分析结果表明,女性、青年和老年群体在乳制品消费参与和消费量上的同群效应更大;农村居民及低收入人群在消费参与上更易受到同群效应的影响;乳制品消费分类研究表明,居民液态奶、酸奶与奶粉消费同样显示有同群效应,其中液态奶消费的同群效应最为明显。增加我国居民乳制品摄入要从消费端发力,充分利用乳制品消费的同群效应,对重点消费区域和重点消费人群进行引导,强化居民对乳制品营养价值的认知,促进居民形成稳健的多元化个性化消费行为,推动奶业高质量发展。

    Abstract:

    Promoting the consumption of dairy products is conducive to increasing the intake of high-quality protein,optimizing the food structure, enhancing the physical fitness of Chinese citizens,and promoting the implementation of the Healthy China Strategy.Based on the survey data of urban and rural residents aged over 18 years old from 2004 to 2018 China Health and Nutrition Survey (CHNS),marginal Probit regression and Tobit regression are used to examine the peer effects on dairy consumption behavior based on the Linear-in-Means model,and instrumental variables method (2SLS) is further used to solve the “reflexivity” endogeneity problem to test the results of the underlying regressions, to examine the existence of the peer effect and to further explore its heterogeneity.The results show that the peer effect has a positive effect on residents’ dairy consumption,and the findings remain robust after the “reflexivity” endogeneity problem is addressed using the instrumental variable method.Heterogeneity analysis shows that peer effects are greater for the female,youth and elderly groups on dairy consumption and consumption quantity.Rural residents and low-income groups are more likely to be affected by peer effects in consumption.The research on the classification of dairy consumption shows that residents’ consumption of liquid milk,yoghurt and milk powder also shows peer effects, with the peer effect of liquid milk consumption being obvious.Therefore,to increase the intake of dairy products in China,it is necessary to make efforts from the consumption side,make full use of the peer effect of dairy consumption,guide regional consumption priorities and population consumption priorities,strengthen residents’ cognition of the nutritional value of dairy products,promote residents to form stable diversified and personalized consumption behaviors,and promote the high-quality development of the dairy industry.

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熊偲皓,程广燕,王子.我国居民乳制品消费行为的同群效应研究[J].华中农业大学学报(社会科学版),2023(6):26-35

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  • 收稿日期:2023-02-10
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  • 在线发布日期: 2023-11-13
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