中国农业农村高质量发展的时空特征、区域差异及影响因素
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1.西安交通大学 经济与金融学院,陕西 西安 710061;2.甘肃农业大学 财经学院,甘肃 兰州 730070

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F323

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国家社会科学基金重点项目“财政政策与货币政策在西部地区乡村振兴中的功效比较与协同研究”(18AZD009);陕西省自然科学基金项目“区域协调发展视角下金融资源流动对我国货币政策区域效应的影响研究”(S2023-JC-QN-0378)。


The Spatial-temporal Characteristics,Regional Disparities, and Influencing Factors of High-quality Agricultural and Rural Development in China
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    摘要:

    农业农村高质量发展是新时代中国经济社会高质量发展的基础支撑。采用核密度估计、莫兰指数和Dagum基尼系数分析2006-2020年30个省农业农村高质量发展水平、时空特征及区域差异,并运用地理探测器模型分析影响因素。研究发现:(1)中国农业农村发展质量稳步提升但区域差异显著,东部整体水平最高,西部增长速度最快。(2)空间上正相关性显著,多数省份处于HH区和LL区且无跃迁现象,时间上核密度估计曲线逐渐右移,西部地区省际差异趋于收敛,其余地区内部差异逐渐扩大。(3)基尼系数呈“U”型变化趋势,区域间差异为首要来源,分地区看,东-西部地区间发展差异最大,分维度看,创新及开放发展区域间差异最大。(4)农业农村高质量发展受科技创新、产业结构和金融支农水平等多因素共同影响。

    Abstract:

    The high-quality agricultural and rural development is the foundation for the high-quality development of China’s economy and society in the new era.Using Kernel Density,Moran index,Dagum Gini coefficient and geographic detector model,this paper analyzes the high-quality agricultural and rural development level,spatial-temporal characteristics,regional disparities and the influencing factors in 30 provinces from 2006 to 2020.The results show that:1)The quality of agriculture and rural areas development in China has steadily improved with significant regional disparities, with the highest overall level in the East and the fastest growth rate in the West.2)The positive correlation is significant in space,with most provinces in HH and LL regions without any transition phenomenon and the Kernel density estimation curve gradually shifts to the right in time,with the inter-provincial disparities in the West tending to converge,and the internal disparities in the other regions gradually expanding.3)The Gini coefficient shows a U-shaped trend,with inter-regional differences as the primary source.The largest regional development gaps are found between the eastern and western regions,while disparities in innovation and openness to development are the greatest across different regions.4)The high-quality development of agriculture and rural areas is jointly affected by multiple factors such as technological innovation,industrial structure,and financial support for agriculture.

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赵丹玉,崔建军.中国农业农村高质量发展的时空特征、区域差异及影响因素[J].华中农业大学学报(社会科学版),2024(3):10-24

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  • 收稿日期:2023-08-27
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  • 在线发布日期: 2024-05-16
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