土地租金销蚀了粮食补贴的“稳粮”效果吗?
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1.中国农业科学院 农业经济与发展研究所,北京 100081;2.上海财经大学 财经研究所,上海 200433

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F326.11

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国家自然科学基金项目“‘毁约跑路’还是‘逆势加码’:收储制度改革背景下粮食规模户经营行为调整与风险化解机制研究”(71903187);国家社会科学基金重大招标项目“农业社会化服务推动生产绿色转型的机制与对策研究”(23&ZD110);中国农业科学院科技创新工程项目(10-IAED-01-2024)。


Do Land Transfer Rents Erode the “Food Production Stabilization” Effect of Food Subsidies?
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    摘要:

    尽管近年来政府不断加大粮食补贴力度,但种粮成本不断攀升,尤其土地流转租金明显跟涨,影响农民种粮积极性。农业补贴存在资本化为地租的倾向可能是推动土地成本上升的原因之一。鉴于此,基于2010-2020年玉米生产省级面板数据,采用事件研究法分析玉米生产者补贴的动态效应,以明晰粮食补贴的资本化效应对补贴“稳粮”效果的影响。研究结果表明:玉米生产者补贴导致下年土地流转租金增加了5.7元/亩,并进一步证实了补贴资本化为地租一定程度上削弱了生产者补贴应有的政策效果。若切断粮食补贴与土地流转租金之间的联动关系,生产者补贴稳定种粮面积的正向效果将进一步增强,其削减生产投入的负向影响将进一步减弱。由此提出未来粮食支持政策应进一步优化增量补贴方式,规避其与地租的联动关系,从生产技术模式结合、新型经营体系对接的角度,提高补贴精度和支持效率。

    Abstract:

    Despite the fact that the government has been increasing food subsidies in recent years, the cost of growing food continues to rise,especially land transfer rents,affecting farmers’ enthusiasm for growing food.Theoretical analysis suggests that the tendency of subsidies to be capitalized as land rent is one of the reasons for the rising cost of land.Therefore,based on provincial panel data of maize production from 2010 to 2020,this study uses an event study method to analyze the dynamic effects of subsidies for maize producers to clarify the impact of the capitalization on the food production stabilization effect of grain subsidies.And the analysis shows that the implementation of producer subsidies after the reform of the maize reserve system led to an increase in land transfer rent of RMB 5.7/mu in the following year,which further confirms that the capitalization of the subsidies into land rent has weakened the policy effect of producer subsidies to a certain extent.If the linkage between subsidies and land transfer rents is cut off,the positive effect of producer subsidies on stabilizing grain cultivation area will be further enhanced and its negative effect of reducing production inputs will be further weakened.Therefore,it is proposed that the design of future food support policy should further optimize the incremental subsidy method,avoid its linkage with land rent,and improve the subsidy precision and support efficiency from the perspective of integrating production technology patterns and new management systems.

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引用本文

钟钰,陈希,普蓂喆.土地租金销蚀了粮食补贴的“稳粮”效果吗?[J].华中农业大学学报(社会科学版),2024(3):118-130

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  • 收稿日期:2023-08-28
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  • 在线发布日期: 2024-05-16
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