文化消费政策如何影响农村居民家庭消费?——基于文化消费试点政策的准自然实验
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1.山东大学 历史学院,山东 济南 250100;2.山东大学 经济研究院,山东 济南 250100;3.上海交通大学 安泰经济与管理学院,上海 200030

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F328

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国家自然科学基金面上项目“中国基础教育资源的空间错配及其优化研究”(72374126);山东省泰山学者青年基金(tsqn202306088);山东省自然科学基金青年项目“家政服务业发展与女性福利”(ZR2024QG183)。


How Do Cultural Consumption Policies Affect Rural Household Consumption——Evidence from a Quasi-Natural Experiment Based on the Cultural Consumption Pilot Policy
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    摘要:

    提高居民文化消费水平以满足人民群众日益增长的精神文化需要,对推动经济高质量发展和中国式现代化具有重要意义。基于中国家庭追踪调查数据,以文化消费试点政策为“准自然实验”,采用双重差分方法,考察该政策对农村居民消费的影响。研究发现试点政策显著提高了农村居民的文化消费支出,其中以旅游消费为主。在平行趋势检验、安慰剂检验等多重稳健性检验下,结论保持一致。此外,东部地区基于O2O平台的试点政策对居民文旅类消费的提升效应最为明显,税费优惠政策也有显著的效果,而旨在激励居民自主消费的政策并未产生显著的效果。由此建议因地制宜推动文化消费改革,挖掘农村居民消费潜力,促进消费结构调整。

    Abstract:

    Enhancing household cultural consumption to meet the growing demand for spiritual and cultural well-being is critical for promoting high-quality economic development and modernization with Chinese characteristics.Based on data from the China Family Panel Studies (CFPS),this paper treats the cultural consumption pilot policy as a quasi-natural experiment and employs a difference-in-differences method to examine the policy’s impact on rural residents’consumption.The results indicate that the pilot policy significantly increased rural residents’ cultural expenditures,primarily driven by tourism consumption.These findings remain consistent under multiple robustness checks,including parallel trend tests and placebo analyses.Moreover,heterogeneity analysis reveals that the policy’s effect was most pronounced in eastern regions,where Online-to-Offline (O2O) platforms amplified its impact on cultural and tourism consumption.Tax incentive policies also demonstrated measurable efficacy,whereas measures aimed at stimulating autonomous household consumption yielded negligible effects.Based on these findings,it is recommended to promote cultural consumption reforms tailored to local conditions, tap into the consumption potential of rural residents,and facilitate the adjustment of the consumption structures.

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孙大永,王素素,梁枫.文化消费政策如何影响农村居民家庭消费?——基于文化消费试点政策的准自然实验[J].华中农业大学学报(社会科学版),2025(3):128-138

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  • 收稿日期:2024-10-01
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  • 在线发布日期: 2025-05-16
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