县域产业结构变迁何以带动农民“提低扩中”?——基于合理化、高级化的双重探析
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四川农业大学 经济学院/西部乡村振兴研究中心,四川 成都611130

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F323

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国家社会科学基金重点项目“县域富民产业促进乡村振兴重点帮扶县农村中低收入群体增收对策研究”(23AJY015)。


How Does Industrial Structure Transformation at the County Level Contribute to “Raising the Low and Expanding the Middle”?——A Dual Analysis Based on the Rationalization and Upgrading
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    摘要:

    增加低收入者收入,扩大中等收入群体,形成“橄榄型”收入分配结构,是迈向共同富裕的必然要求。基于全国1706个县的平衡面板数据,利用双向固定效应模型验证县域产业结构变迁对农民的“提低扩中”效应。研究发现:第一,我国县域产业结构变迁整体呈现良性发展趋势,体现为产业结构合理化和高级化。第二,县域产业结构变迁中的合理化能促进资源合理配置,提高农民与非农岗位的适配度,有利于实现“提低扩中”,高级化则存在带动效应和挤出效应两种倾向。第三,异质性检验表明,县域产业结构变迁在“发展极”县域的增收效应相较“稳定极”县域更为显著,且合理化与高级化在不同地理区位的影响程度存在差别。第四,长期视角下,县域产业结构变迁能提升低收入农民的收入质量,加快其进入中等收入群体的步伐,有效实现城乡收入缩距,加速实现“橄榄型社会”。基于此,提出发展县域富民产业、提升非农就业的包容性等政策启示。

    Abstract:

    Increasing the income of low-income groups and expanding the middle-income population to form an“olive-shaped” income distribution structure is an inevitable requirement for achieving common prosperity.Based on balanced panel data from 1706 counties across China,this study employs a two-way fixed effects model to examine the impact of industrial structure transformation at the county level on“raising the low and expanding the middle”among farmers.The study finds that the transformation of industrial structure in China’s counties generally exhibits a positive developmental trend,mainly reflected in the rationalization and upgrading of the industrial structure.Rationalization within county-level industrial structure transformation promotes the rational allocation of resources and enhances the alignment between farmers and non-agricultural employment opportunities,thereby facilitating the goals of“raising the low and expanding the middle”.In contrast,industrial structure upgrading demonstrates both driving effects and crowding-out effects.Moreover,heterogeneity analysis shows that the income-enhancing effect of industrial structure transformation is more pronounced in“growth-pole” counties compared to“stable-tier” counties,and the influence of rationalization and upgrading varies across different geographical locations.From a long-term perspective,industrial structure transformation at the county level can improve the income quality of low-income farmers,accelerate their entry into the middle-income group,effectively narrow the urban-rural income gap,and expedite the realization of an“olive-shaped” society.Based on these findings, policy implications include developing characteristic industries to enrich the people and enhancing the inclusiveness of non-agricultural employment.

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杨浩,徐梦龙.县域产业结构变迁何以带动农民“提低扩中”?——基于合理化、高级化的双重探析[J].华中农业大学学报(社会科学版),2026(1):133-144

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  • 收稿日期:2024-11-12
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  • 在线发布日期: 2026-01-12
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