农户收入结构异质性视角下水库移民农业安置需求研究
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国家社会科学基金项目“非自愿性水库移民安置中‘两区’土地公平补偿机理与制度建设研究”


Study on Reservoir Immigrants' Agricultural Resettlement Demand in the View of Income Structure Heterogeneity
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    摘要:

    以湖南皂市水库移民为研究对象,利用聚类分析和Bootstrap多元回归方法,在农户类型划分的基础上,计算不同类型农户差别化的农业安置需求。结果表明:(1)皂市水库移民农户收入结构差异与户主对安置情况满意度评价之间存在明显的规律性;(2)依据模型测算得出不同类型移民家庭的人均耕园地安置需求为务工型农户0.88亩/人、兼业型农户1.00亩/人、务农型农户1.54亩/人,不同类型土地可根据各类农产品产值折算互换;(3)皂市水库移民农业安置标准难以满足务农型农户家庭需求,但对务工型和兼业型农户来说略显盈余,土地集约化程度有待提高。为此,政府在编制移民安置规划报告时可选择依据项目区内农户之间差异化的农业安置需求确定该项目移民农业安置所需耕园地总面积,并最终筛选满足出地条件的安置区选址范围。

    Abstract:

    Taking the Zaoshi Reservoir Resettlement in Hunan Province as the research area,using the method of K-means clustering and multiple regression combined with Bootstrap,this paper calculates the different types of farmers’ agricultural resettlement demand on the basis of the farmer type division.The results are as follows.There is obvious regularity between the income structure differences and the satisfaction degree of the migrant re-settlers from Zaoshi Resevior.According to the model,the differentiated agricultural resettlement demand is 0.88 mu per person for the working type,1.00 mu per person for the mix type,and 1.54 mu per person for the farming type.And different types of land could be calculated according to value of output of different agricultural products.It is difficult for the agricultural resettlement standard of Zaoshi reservoir to meet the needs of farmers of the farming type,but there is a slight surplus for farmers of the mixing type and the working type, and the degree of land intensification needs to be improved.Therefore,the Government,in establishing the Reservoir resettlement planning report,can as certain the total area required for the agricultural resettlement based on the differentiated agricultural resettlement needs among types of farmers,and accordingly screened out the final location of resettlement area to meet the needs.

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梅昀,兰梦婷,白昊男.农户收入结构异质性视角下水库移民农业安置需求研究[J].华中农业大学学报(社会科学版),2017(3):116-123

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  • 在线发布日期: 2017-04-07
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