Abstract:Based on risk theory and combination of practice and previous study,this paper analyzes land expropriation conflict risk factors and conflict consequences,builds hypothesis and constructs the path model of conflict risk to empirically study the conflict factors and path of conflict consequences with the purpose of finding the acting path of conflict risk factors and the consequences.The result shows that land expropriation procedure,distribution of land expropriation compensation and mediation of land requisition contradiction have direct impacts on the conflict consequences,their respective influencing degrees are 0.283,0.447 and 0.073.Land supervision and conflict risk factors in land requisition contradiction mediation have indirect effects on the conflict consequences,their respective influencing degrees are 0.340 and 0.324.Therefore,this paper proposes several strategies on how to control land expropriation conflict risks from such ways as land expropriation compensation model,mechanisms of land expropriation supervision and conflict mediation,the standardization of land expropriation and compensation process.