卢新海,陈丹玲,匡兵.区域一体化加剧了土地财政依赖吗?——以长江经济带为例[J].华中农业大学学报(社科),2019,(1):146-154
区域一体化加剧了土地财政依赖吗?——以长江经济带为例
Is Regional Integration Exacerbating the Land Financial Dependence?——A Case Study of the Yangtze River Economic Belt
  
DOI:
中文关键词:区域一体化  土地财政  依赖效应  长江经济带
英文关键词:regional Integration  dependence effect  the Yangtze River Economic Belt
基金项目:国家自然科学基金面上项目“藏粮于地理念下耕地轮作休耕对象确定、模式选择与实现路径研究”(71673096);国家社会科学基金青年项目“城市中心区低效工业用地的退出机制研究”(16CGL054);中央高校基本科研业务费“城市土地制度改革研究”(2015QY001)。
作者单位
卢新海 1.华中科技大学 公共管理学院湖北 武汉 430074 2.华中师范大学 公共管理学院湖北 武汉 430079 
陈丹玲 华中科技大学 公共管理学院湖北 武汉 430074 
匡兵 华中师范大学 公共管理学院湖北 武汉 430079 
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中文摘要:
      以长江经济带及其上、中、下游地区为研究对象,从理论上刻画了区域一体化影响土地财政依赖的内在机理,并在考虑空间滞后效应的基础上,采用空间动态面板模型考察区域一体化及其分解指标对土地财政依赖的影响。结果发现,区域一体化对土地财政的“依赖效应”具有地区异质性,具体表现为:①长江经济带整体及其中、下游地区的区域一体化与土地财政均存在显著倒“U”型曲线关系,当三个区域的区域一体化水平分别达到0.889 6、0.964 5和0.967 1,即约2049年、2057年和2031年左右,各区域土地财政依赖将会降低,而上游地区区域一体化每增加1%,土地财政依赖将增加0.603 9%。②从区域一体化各分解指标来看,经济一体化与土地财政依赖的倒“U”型关系最为显著,且长江经济带将在经济一体化达到0.963 2时进入全域范围的土地财政依赖下降阶段。而社会一体化每提高1%,土地财政依赖将增加0.011 7%~0.121 6%。此外,仅在长江经济带整体尺度下,空间一体化与土地财政依赖符合倒“U”型的理论假说,而制度一体化与土地财政依赖的倒“U”型关系则在上、中、下游分区域尺度下呈现。为了合理利用土地财政,推动和谐治理,从“优化区域空间联动环境”“制定差异化发展策略”及“完善监督和预警体系”等方面提出对策与建议。
英文摘要:
      Taking the Yangtze River Economic Belt and its upper,middle and lower reaches as empirical objects,this paper firstly depicts the influence mechanism of regional integration on land finance dependence and further examines the impact of regional integration and decomposition indicators on land financial dependence by using spatial dynamic panel model based on spatial lag effect.The results show that regional heterogeneity exists in the “dependency effect” of regional integration on land finance and its specific performance is as follows:① There is a significant inverted “U” curve relationship between regional integration and land finance dependence in the Yangtze River economic belt and its middle and lower reaches,which means the land finance dependence will enter the declining period respectively in 2049,2057 and 2031 when the levels of regional integration in three regions reach respectively 0.889 6,0.964 5 and 0.967 1.The level of regional integration increases by 1% in upper reaches,land finance dependence will increase by 0.606 9%; ② According to the decomposition index of regional integration,the relationship between economic integration and land finance dependence is most significant,and the Yangtze River Economic Belt will enter the decline stage of land finance dependency when its level of regional integration reaches 0.963 2.While social integration increases by 1%,land financial dependency will increase by 0.011 7%-0.591 2%.In addition,under the overall scale of the Yangtze River Economic Belt,the relationship between spatial integration and land financial dependence conforms to the inverted “U” type hypothesis,while the inverted “U” relationship between institutional integration and land financial dependence is only presented in the upper,middle and lower reaches.In order to make rational use of land finance and promote the harmonious governance of government,some suggestions are put forward,including optimizing regional spatial linkage environment,formulating differential development strategy and perfecting supervision and early warning system.
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