适度规模经营何以可能?——基于农村老年人土地流转意愿的角度
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国家自然科学基金青年项目“子女迁移对农村老年人多维贫困的影响研究”(71704190)。


Why is Moderate Scale Operation Possible? ——An Empirical Explanation Based on the Rural Elderly’s Willingness to Transfer Land
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    摘要:

    基于全国12个省36个县1 104份基层调查数据,采用二元Logistic回归模型,从农村老年人土地转出意愿的角度考察了适度规模经营的可能性及其实现路径。结果表明:47%的农村老年人愿意转出土地,健康状况与农村老年人土地转出意愿有显著关系。由此得出:适度规模经营是可能的;优先解决农村老年人的“基本生存”问题,是促进农村老年人流转土地经营权、实现适度规模经营的第一步,而提高农村老年人的土地流转收益,才能让他们心甘情愿地流转土地经营权;改善农村代际关系、提高土地流转价格,将对促进农村土地流转、实现适度规模经营起到积极作用;优先促进70岁以上且健康状况较差的农村老年人转出土地,积极促进距离县城较近的农村老年人转出土地,将起到事半功倍的效果。

    Abstract:

    Based on the survey data from 1,104 rural old people in 36 counties in 12 provinces,this paper adopts binary logistics regression model and descriptive analysis method to empirically investigate the possibility of moderate scale operation and its realization path from the perspective of the willingness of the rural elderly to transfer their land.The results show that 47% of the rural elderly are willing to transfer their land and there is a significant relationship between their health status and their willingness.It could be concluded that:(1) Moderate scale operation is possible; (2) the first step to promote land transfer and moderate scale operation is giving priority to solving the “basic survival” problem of the rural elderly,which explicates that the more they benefit from land transfer,the more active they are to let out their land; (3) improving the rural intergenerational relationship and increasing land transfer prices contribute to moderate scale operation; (4) priority should be given to people in the 70 plus group with a poor health condition and people living near the county,which proves to be feasible and highly-efficient.

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拜茹.适度规模经营何以可能?——基于农村老年人土地流转意愿的角度[J].华中农业大学学报(社会科学版),2019(2):144-152

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  • 在线发布日期: 2019-02-22
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