收储制度市场化改革能提升玉米生产效率吗?基于玉米主产区247地级市数据实证分析
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1.南京财经大学 粮食和物资学院,江苏 南京,210023;2.南京财经大学 现代粮食流通与安全协同创新中心,江苏 南京,210023

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F320.2

基金项目:

国家自然科学基金项目“粮食价格调控与市场反应机制研究:基于农户与粮食企业行为视角”(71673127);服务国家特殊需求博士人才科研专项“玉米收储制度改革与种粮大户生产稳定机制研究——基于收入不确定性视角”(BSZX2021-02)。


Can the Market-oriented Reform of the Grain Purchase and Storage System Improve Corn Production Efficiency?An Empirical Analysis Based on 247 Prefecture-level Cities in Main Corn-producing Areas
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    摘要:

    党的十九大要求,加快推动粮食收储制度改革,保障国家粮食安全。党的二十大进一步指出,全方位夯实粮食安全根基,确保中国人的饭碗牢牢端在自己手里。收储制度市场化改革能否有效激发市场机制作用、提升粮食生产效率,对稳定国内粮食供给、保障国家粮食安全具有重要影响。利用2011-2020年玉米主产区247地级市面板数据,构建DID模型和中介效应模型,基于市场扭曲和市场风险双重视角分析收储制度改革对玉米全要素生产率的影响,并探讨其影响机制。结果表明:(1)收储制度改革对东北三省一区玉米全要素生产率总体呈现正向影响,但是随着改革的深入,全要素生产率增长幅度呈现波动变化;(2)收储制度改革的影响存在较大区域差异性,改革对于内蒙古和黑龙江两地呈现较为明显正向影响,尤其是对该地区第一、第四和第五积温带区域影响最为显著,而对吉林和辽宁两省影响并不明显;(3)收储制度改革通过缓解市场扭曲和加剧市场风险两条路径影响玉米全要素生产率,其中市场扭曲的缓解有助于提升玉米全要素生产率,而市场风险的加剧则减缓了玉米全要素生产率的增长。政府应该关注收储制度改革后玉米生产效率,充分发挥市场机制功能,同时配套抗风险、防波动稳定机制,以确保玉米生产高质量发展,保障国家粮食安全。

    Abstract:

    The 19th National Congress of the Communist Party of China called for accelerating the grain purchasing and storage system reform to ensure national food security. The 20th National Congress of the Communist Party of China further emphasized the foundation of food security should be strengthened in all aspects to maintain the self-reliance in food supply. Whether the market-oriented reform of purchasing and storage system can stimulate the role of market mechanisms and improve the efficiency of grain production has an essential influence on stabilizing the domestic grain supply and ensuring national food security. Therefore,this paper uses the panel data of 247 cities in major corn-producing areas from 2011 to 2020,constructs DID model and intermediary effect model and analyzes the impact of the reform of the acquisition and storage system on the total factor productivity of corn. The results show that:1)The reform of purchasing and storage system has a positive impact on corn TFP in Northeast China,but with the deepening of the reform, the growth rate of TFP fluctuates. 2)Further research demonstrates that there are significant regional differences in the impact of the system reform of purchasing and storage. The reform has apparent positive effects on Inner Mongolia and Heilongjiang province,especially on the first,fourth and fifth accumulated temperature zones,while the impact on Jilin and Liaoning provinces is not obvious. 3)The reform of purchasing and storage system affects corn TFP through alleviation of market distortion and the aggravation of market risk. The alleviation of market distortion helps to improve TFP,while the aggravation of market risk reduces the growth of corn TFP. The government should pay attention to the TFP of corn after reform,give full play to the market function, and implement supporting mechanisms to reduce risks and stabilize fluctuations to ensure the high-quality development of maize production and safeguard national food security.

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王海峰,李光泗,王金秋.收储制度市场化改革能提升玉米生产效率吗?基于玉米主产区247地级市数据实证分析[J].华中农业大学学报(社会科学版),2024(2):83-93

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  • 收稿日期:2023-01-06
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  • 在线发布日期: 2024-03-19
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