Page 33 - 《华中农业大学学报（社会科学版）》2024年第1期

第1 期 高 鸣 等：新一轮千亿斤粮食产能提升的源泉：全要素生产率的增长与贡献 27

[16] 高鸣，姚志.保障种粮农民收益：理论逻辑、关键问题与机制设计［J］.管理世界，2022（11）：86-102.
[17] LIN B，WANG X，JIN S，et al.Impacts of cooperative membership on rice productivity：evidence from China［J］.World develop⁃
ment，2022，150：105669．
[18] 王璐，杨汝岱，吴比.中国农户农业生产全要素生产率研究［J］.管理世界，2020（12）：77-93.
[19] CHARI A，LIU E M，WANG S Y，et al.Property rights，land misallocation，and agricultural efficiency in China［J］.The review of
economic studies，2021，88（4）：1831-1862.
[20] 杜鹰.中国的粮食安全战略（下）［J］.农村工作通讯，2020（22）：17-21.
[21] REN C，ZHOU X，WANG C，et al.Ageing threatens sustainability of smallholder farming in China［J］.Nature，2023，616：96-103.
[22] 曾俊霞，郜亮亮，王宾，等 .中国职业农民是一支什么样的队伍——基于国内外农业劳动力人口特征的比较分析［J］.农业经济问
题，2020（7）：130-142.
[23] 魏佳朔，高鸣.农业劳动力老龄化如何影响小麦全要素生产率增长［J］.中国农村经济，2023（2）：109-128.
[24] 李谷成.中国农业的绿色生产率革命：1978−2008年［J］.经济学（季刊），2014（2）：537-558.
[25] 展进涛，徐钰娇.环境规制、农业绿色生产率与粮食安全［J］.中国人口·资源与环境，2019（3）：167-176.
[26] 许庆，尹荣梁，章辉.规模经济、规模报酬与农业适度规模经营——基于我国粮食生产的实证研究［J］.经济研究，2011（3）：59-71.

The Source of the New Round of Hundred Billion Catty Grain Pro⁃
duction Capacity Improvement：The Growth and Contribution of

Total Factor Productivity

GAO Ming，WEI Jiashuo

Abstract The implementation of the new round of hundred billion catty grain production capacity
improvement action relies heavily on the growth of total factor productivity（TFP） by strengthening sci⁃
entific and technological innovation and institutional innovation，which is the basic compliance with the
theory of economic growth，the historical experience of increasing grain production in China，and the in⁃
evitable requirement for accelerating the construction of an agricultural powerhouse.During the previous
round of grain production capacity improvement（2009− 2020），the TFP of wheat，rice and corn，the
three major grain crops in China，showed an overall growth trend，with TFP contributing more than 50%
to output growth.However，compared to others，the growth rate and contribution of rice TFP were rela⁃
tively slow and low.There are significant differences in TFP growth between different regions and differ⁃
ent farmers，especially in non-food production areas and small-scale grain farmers，where the contribution
of TFP to output growth needs to be improved.Therefore，in the future，it is necessary to follow the new
development concept，improve the quality and fragmentation degree of cultivated land，accelerate techno⁃
logical innovation in the frontiers of grain seed industry，promote the high-quality development of agricul⁃
tural mechanization，improve the agricultural technology promotion system and establish a sound mecha⁃
nism for protecting the income of grain farmers，helping TFP play a more important role in promoting the
increase of grain production capacity.
Key words grain production capacity improvement； grain security； total factor productivity； tech⁃
nological progress

(责任编辑：陈万红)